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Problem definition

Current Situation: HR and managers lack a systematic tool to assess employee churn risk. They rely on intuition and limited data points, leading to:

  • Reactive retention strategies: Responding to resignations after the fact, missing opportunities to proactively engage and retain valuable talent.
  • Potential talent loss: Losing "A-player" employees with high institutional knowledge and productivity, leading to significant costs and disruptions.

Cost Comparison:

  • Finding new talent: Studies show replacing an employee can cost 1.5-2 times their annual salary, including recruitment, onboarding, and lost productivity.
  • Retaining an A-player: Investing in employee engagement, career development, and competitive compensation is often significantly cheaper than replacing them.

Desired Outcome: Develop a machine learning model that predicts the probability of employee resignation and identifies key factors contributing to this risk.

Key Deliverables:

  • A user-friendly web interface allowing HR/managers to input employee data.
  • The interface displays the:
    • Probability of the employee leaving the company.
    • Top factors influencing this prediction, providing actionable insights.

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Impact:

  • Proactive talent retention strategies: Identify and address employee concerns before they resign, focusing on high-risk individuals.
  • Improved employee engagement and satisfaction: Creating a positive work environment reduces churn and attracts top talent.
  • Reduced hiring and training costs: Saving money associated with replacing lost employees.

Additional Considerations:

  • Data access and quality.
  • Model fairness and interpretability.
  • Implementation within existing HR workflows.

By predicting and addressing potential churn, this project helps companies avoid the significant costs associated with losing valuable employees.

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