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Sales Forecasting Double Moving Average and Double Exponential Smoothing Indihome PematangSiantar 2018-2021 Using python

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michstg/Forecast-Double-Moving-Average-and-Double-Exponential-Smoothing

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Double Moving Average (DMA) and Double Exponential Smoothing

Dataset = Sales Report Indihome PematangSiantar

Times = January 2018 until December 2021

  • Double Moving Average is best models for historical data with a trend but no seasonality.

  • Double Eksponensial Smoothing is best models for data have a trend and do not have a seasonal component.

  • DMA and DES are suitable for short-term forecasting

  • Exploratory Data Analysis by monthly, analysis and forecasting are carried out by comparing MAPE

  • Summary = MAPE DMA < MAPE DES with optimal parameter