nutpie: A fast sampler for bayesian posteriors

Installation

nutpie can be installed using conda or mamba from conda-forge with

mamba install -c conda-forge nutpie pymc

To install it from source, install a rust compiler (eg using rustup) and run

maturin develop --release

If you want to use the nightly simd implementation for some of the math functions, switch to rust nightly and then install with the simd_support feature in the nutpie dir:

rustup override set nightly
maturin develop --release --features=simd_support

Usage

First, we need to create a model, for example using pymc:

import pymc as pm
import numpy as np
import nutpie
import pandas as pd
import seaborn as sns

# Load the radon dataset
data = pd.read_csv(pm.get_data("radon.csv"))
data["log_radon"] = data["log_radon"].astype(np.float64)
county_idx, counties = pd.factorize(data.county)
coords = {"county": counties, "obs_id": np.arange(len(county_idx))}

# Create a simple hierarchical model for the radon dataset
with pm.Model(coords=coords, check_bounds=False) as pymc_model:
    intercept = pm.Normal("intercept", sigma=10)

    # County effects
    # TODO should be a CenteredNormal
    raw = pm.Normal("county_raw", dims="county")
    sd = pm.HalfNormal("county_sd")
    county_effect = pm.Deterministic("county_effect", raw * sd, dims="county")

    # Global floor effect
    floor_effect = pm.Normal("floor_effect", sigma=2)

    # County:floor interaction
    # Should also be a CenteredNormal
    raw = pm.Normal("county_floor_raw", dims="county")
    sd = pm.HalfNormal("county_floor_sd")
    county_floor_effect = pm.Deterministic(
        "county_floor_effect", raw * sd, dims="county"
    )

    mu = (
        intercept
        + county_effect[county_idx]
        + floor_effect * data.floor.values
        + county_floor_effect[county_idx] * data.floor.values
    )

    sigma = pm.HalfNormal("sigma", sigma=1.5)
    pm.Normal(
        "log_radon", mu=mu, sigma=sigma, observed=data.log_radon.values, dims="obs_id"
    )

We then compile this model and sample form the posterior:

compiled_model = nutpie.compile_pymc_model(pymc_model)
trace_pymc = nutpie.sample(compiled_model, chains=10)

trace_pymc now contains an arviz InferenceData object, including sampling statistics and the posterior of the variables defined above.

For more details, see the example notebook aesara_logp

nutpie can also sample from stan models, it currently needs a patched version of httpstan do so so however. The required version can be found here. Make sure to follow the development installation instructions for httpstan.

Advantages

nutpie uses nuts-rs, a library written in rust, that implements NUTS as in pymc and stan, but with a slightly different mass matrix tuning method as those. It often produces a higher effective sample size per gradient evaluation, and tends to converge faster and with fewer gradient evaluation.

From the benchmarks I did, it seems to be the fastest CPU based sampler I could find, outperforming cmdstan and numpyro.

Unforunately performance on pymc models is currently somewhat limited by an issue in numba, which hopefully will be fixed soon. Without the patch mentioned in the issue the model above samples in about 2s on my machine, with the patch it finished is about 700ms.