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A package for downloading and handling forecasts for the National Electricity Market (NEM) from the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO).

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nemseer

PyPI version Continuous Integration and Deployment Documentation Status codecov pre-commit.ci status Code style: black DOI

A package for downloading and handling historical National Electricity Market (NEM) forecast data produced by the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO).

Installation

pip install nemseer

Many nemseer use-cases require NEMOSIS, which can also be installed using pip:

pip install nemosis

Overview

nemseer allows you to access historical AEMO pre-dispatch and Projected Assessment of System Adequacy (PASA) forecast1 data available through the MMSDM Historical Data SQLLoader. nemseer can then compile this data into pandas DataFrames or xarray Datasets.

An overview of nemseer functionality and potential use-cases are provided in the JOSS paper for this package.

forecast_overview

Source: Reserve services in the National Electricity Market, AEMC, 2021

Whereas PASA processes are primarily used to assess resource adequacy based on technical inputs and assumptions for resources in the market (i.e. used to answer questions such as "can operational demand be met in the forecast horizon with a sufficient safety (reserve) margin?"), pre-dispatch processes incorporate the latest set of market participant offers and thus produce regional prices forecasts for energy and frequency control ancillary services (FCAS). Overviews of the various pre-dispatch and PASA processes can be found in the glossary.

nemseer enables you to download and work with data for the following forecast types. Where available, AEMO process and table descriptions are linked:

  1. 5-minute pre-dispatch (P5MIN: Table descriptions)
  2. Pre-dispatch (PREDISPATCH: Table descriptions)
  3. Pre-dispatch Projected Assessment of System Adequacy (PDPASA: Tables and Descriptions)
  4. Short Term Projected Assessment of System Adequacy (STPASA: Table descriptions)
  5. Medium Term Projected Assessment of System Adequacy (MTPASA: Table descriptions)

Another helpful reference for PASA information is AEMO's Reliability Standard Implementation Guidelines.

ST PASA Replacement Project

Note that the methodologies for PD PASA and ST PASA are being reviewed by AEMO. In particular, the ST PASA Replacement project will combine PD PASA and ST PASA into ST PASA. For more detail, refer to the final determination of the rule change and the AEMO ST PASA Replacement Project home page.

Usage

Glossary

The glossary contains overviews of the PASA and pre-dispatch processes, and descriptions of terminology used in nemseer.

Quick start

Check out the Quick start for guide on to use nemseer.

Examples

Some use case examples have been included in the Examples section of the documentation.

Support

If you are having an issue with this software that has not already been raised in the issues register, please raise a new issue.

Contributing

Interested in contributing? Check out the contributing guidelines, which also includes steps to install nemseer for development.

Please note that this project is released with a Code of Conduct. By contributing to this project, you agree to abide by its terms.

Citation

If you use nemseer, please cite the JOSS paper for this package

If you use code or analysis from any of the demand error and/or price convergence examples in the documentation, please also cite NEMOSIS via this conference paper

Licenses

nemseer was created by Abhijith Prakash. It is licensed under the terms of GNU GPL-3.0-or-later licences.

The content within the documentation for this project is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Credits

nemseer was created with cookiecutter and the py-pkgs-cookiecutter template.

Development of nemseer was funded by the UNSW Digital Grid Futures Institute.

Contributor Acknowledgements

Thanks to:

  • Nicholas Gorman for reviewing nemseer code
  • Krisztina Katona for reviewing and improving the glossary
  • Dylan McConnell for assistance in interpreting PASA run types
  • Declan Heim for suggesting improvements to nemseer examples

Footnotes

  1. We use the term "forecast" loosely, especially given that these "forecasts" change once participants update offer information (e.g. through rebidding) or submit revised resource availabilities and energy constraints. Both of these are intended outcomes of these "ahead processes", which are run to provide system and market information to participants to inform their decision-making. However, to avoid confusion and to ensure consistency with the language used by AEMO, we use the terms "forecast" (or outputs) and "forecast types" (or ahead processes) in nemseer.