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MCMC seed not being respected? #61

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afmagee42 opened this issue Oct 15, 2024 · 0 comments
Open

MCMC seed not being respected? #61

afmagee42 opened this issue Oct 15, 2024 · 0 comments
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@afmagee42
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In retrospective_forecasting/main.py we set the fix passed to numpyro. However, either I'm missing something obvious or we have a bug somewhere which is overriding or interacting with this.

This is the trace plot for a parameter in one run of the analysis pipeline
image

And this is the same parameter in another run of the analysis pipeline
image

The set of models run both times was different, but that shouldn't impact the MCMC results for the same model (prior x likelihood) on the same data with the same MCMC seed. (Unless I'm missing something.)

@afmagee42 afmagee42 added the bug Something isn't working label Dec 16, 2024
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