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求增加一个描述市场恐惧贪婪情绪的指标 #1748

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daotianzhitu opened this issue Aug 11, 2024 · 0 comments
Open

求增加一个描述市场恐惧贪婪情绪的指标 #1748

daotianzhitu opened this issue Aug 11, 2024 · 0 comments

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@daotianzhitu
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尊敬的开发者:
您好!目前市场上已经有部分量化机构通过判断市场情绪来进行择时操作:在市场情绪疯狂的时候卖出,在市场情绪悲观的时候买入。具体衡量市场情绪的指标可以有如下:
(1)市场波动率。50etf期权波动率,这个是利用期权市场的特性来反应股票市场情绪的一个指标。
(2)外资对A股的认可度。陆股通累计买入成交净额,偏离20日均线的程度。
(3)股指期货年化升贴水率。采用沪深300股指(次月、10日平均)期货升贴水率。
(4)股价强度。股市中创过去一年股价新高的股票个数占比。
(5)避险需求。过去20个交易日中,股票回报率与债券回报率的差值,沪深300回报率-国债净价指数回报率。
(6)杠杆率。A股融资买入金额占总成交金额的占比。
针对每个指标,我们观察相对于其平均水平的偏离程度,并赋予0-100的分值,分值越高代表投资者越贪婪,50为中立。最后我们把所有的指标进行平均(等权)得到最终的指标。
期待您的反馈,谢谢!
我的id:366571

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