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Winner distribution plots TODO #20

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endolith opened this issue Jan 29, 2023 · 0 comments
Open
3 tasks

Winner distribution plots TODO #20

endolith opened this issue Jan 29, 2023 · 0 comments

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@endolith
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endolith commented Jan 29, 2023

  • Publish the winner distribution plot scripts
  • Compare optimal approval strategy with vote-for-half, etc.
  • Requested simulations:

Requested simulations:

  • Bimodal voters.
    • Instead of 10k voters normally distributed with a mean of Zero, can you input two normal curves of 5k each, with means of +.5 and -.5? That seems to me to be something approximating the politically active in well established two-party systems.
    • Alternately, use the FPTP distribution of winners (divided by 10, to get back to 10k voters) from the 0.7 or 0.5 dispersion with FPTP, which seems to approximate what I expect the previous would come out to.
  • Additional Methods to be included:
    • Open Partisan Primaries (i.e., two round FPTP, but with the first round only allowing voters to vote for the one candidate closest to them, and instead of picking the top two, pick the top one from each party distribution)
    • Closed Partisan Primaries (basically FPTP internal to each group of 5k voters & C candidates, with a runoff between the two winners)
    • Score
      and, just out of curiosity:
    • 3-2-1
  • Different "Turnouts" for multi-round methods. Probably only relevant for Bimodal, if at all.
    • For Primary type methods, have fewer voters in the primary. Say, 3.5k-4k per distribution for the primary, but the full 5k for the General.
    • For "Runoff" type, have fewer in the Runoff than General

For Score/STAR:

  • Direct comparisons between Score and STAR, using the input parameters.
  • For Score and STAR, vary the range. Ranges I'm particularly interested in are:
    • The 0-5 range the STAR folks are advocating
    • 10 point (1-10) and 11 point (0-10), to see if there's a meaningful difference for having a median point.
    • 5 point (converting to 4.0, no + or - grades)
    • 13 point (converting 4.0+, with [A+,A,A-,...,D,D-,F] corresponding to a single point)
    • 15 point (4.0+, with additional values corresponding to a hypothetical F+ and F-, in case anyone uses them, which, for the purposes of reporting, would be 1/3, and -1/3, respectively)

https://www.reddit.com/r/EndFPTP/comments/yqavco/the_us_forward_party_now_includes_approval_star/j03926b/

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