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Market data is 4 years out of date #5

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alistair-marshall opened this issue Mar 1, 2020 · 2 comments · Fixed by #44
Closed

Market data is 4 years out of date #5

alistair-marshall opened this issue Mar 1, 2020 · 2 comments · Fixed by #44
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@alistair-marshall
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Update market data file to include 2016 to 2019.

Use data from Shiller: http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm
I am not sure where the gold prices are obtained from.

It would be good to document the data sources and possibly have a method to auto generate it rather than risking human error when calculating future years.

@AS137430
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"cpi": https://www.multpl.com/cpi/table/by-year
"dividends": 0.0213028,
"fixed_income": https://www.multpl.com/10-year-treasury-rate/table/by-year
"gold": -0.276,
"growth": 0.22114293,
"cape": https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe/table/by-year

and boknows#68

@alistair-marshall alistair-marshall added the bug Something isn't working label Apr 12, 2020
@alistair-marshall alistair-marshall linked a pull request Apr 16, 2020 that will close this issue
@iLiviu
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iLiviu commented Sep 21, 2020

It seems average daily close prices for the year is used to compute gold growth rate (however it seems growth rate for previous year is calculated, however for equities current year growth is used).
1793-2015 prices can be found here: https://onlygold.com/gold-prices/historical-gold-prices/
for more recent years (1925-2019): https://www.redlakemuseum.com/gold-prices.html
I also found a human error for gold price in 2012, which makes future years data incorrect. Maybe to avoid human errors, actual prices should be used for both equities and gold instead of growth rate?

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3 participants