The preservation of these author attributions for FireGUARD as of the time of its initial open source release is required.
An incomplete but adequate statement of author attributions is in this file or in updated versions of this file. This file may be updated from time to time because of improved information or for the correction of errors or omissions.
This file or an updated version of this file must be included with copies of covered works.
The Aviation, Forest Fire and Emergency Services Branch (AFFES) of the Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry (MNRF) funded and supported the research and development that led to FireGUARD. The work was done by collaboration among AFFES personnel and external researchers.
FireGUARD consists of many components and is the product of team effort. Aspects of the work included conceptual model design, research, data analysis, and software development. FireGUARD's main components are the weather forecast, burn probability, and likelihood-weighted impact. Many people are responsible for or contributed to aspects and components of the work. In addition to those named below, several subject matter experts and decision-makers in MNRF's AFFES and elsewhere gave valuable inputs to model design and evaluations of model outputs.
Overall software engineering, conceptual model design of fire spread geometry, fire survival model research and design, long-term weather pattern-matching expert emulation model, weather forecast verification analysis, burn probability model calibrations, spatial data analysis and processing, output design and implementation, miscellaneous model design contributions
Original burn probability model concept using forecast weather scenarios and likelihood-weighted impact mapping, initial conceptual model design of fire spread geometry, weather forecast verification design, output design, miscellaneous model design contributions
Subject matter expertise on scope, application, and decision-making
Impact and likelihood-weighted impact (risk) model conception, design, and elicitation, weather forecast verification design and analysis, output design, miscellaneous model design contributions
Subject matter expertise on scope, application, and decision-making
Weather forecast model design, miscellaneous model design contributions
Weather forecast model software development, weather forecast verification design and analysis, output design, miscellaneous model design contributions
Weather forecast model statistics, weather forecast verification design and analysis, miscellaneous model design contributions
Weather reanalysis calibration, weather station start up and shutdown model, fire survival model design, miscellaneous model design contributions
FireGUARD is published at the following locations:
- Weather forecast model
- Burn probability model (In progress)
- Impact and likelihood-weighted impact model