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Horizon Strategies Implemented by Urban Modeling Team ( [] is may not happen )

• A-1 STREAMLINE ADU: use GIS to calculate how many could fit per city; multiply by expected city-level utilization rate; put final count in table; test to make sure it's happening

• A-4: USE MALLS AND OFFICE PARKS: refine development projects table with original shift in mind

• V-1 EXPAND CONSTRUCTION WORKFORCES: decrease costs 3%

• A-7 ALLOW DIVERSE HOUSING AROUND STATIONS: upzone TPAs GET NEW STATIONS FROM TRANSPORT AT END OF APRIL OR SO

• D-8 ALLOW AFFORDABLE HOUSING IN AREAS OF HIGH OPPORTUNITY: what does this mean; what is the zone?

• D-7 REQUIRE 20% OF ALL NEW HOUSING AFFORDABLE: set all cities to have 20% inclusionary; calc impact on affordability

• A-8 RAISE TAXES FOR AFFORDABLE PRODUCTION AND PRESERVATION (ONLY IN CAG AND BTF): develop a split cost to allow more construction as a proxy for purchase/rehab; add to bond measure and test; incorporate tax impact into market-based affordability

• D-6 INCREASE RENTER PROTECTIONS: decrease movement rate; can we break out by quartile?

• H-4 DISASTER RECOVERY FINANCING:

• H-7 PARTIALLY ADAPT TO SLR:

• H-8 FULLY ADAPT TO SLR: ONLY IN CAG AND BTF

• H-9 EXPAMD SEISMIC/FIRE FINANCING: ONLY IN CAG AND BTF

• H-2 REGIONAL MEASURE FOR PARKS, AG: ONLY IN CAG AND BTF

• V-7 DECONCENTRATE JOBS: put additional caps on central cities; decrease grp and incomes; increase incommute

• [A-2 USE PUBLIC LAND: ]

• [A-5 USE EXCESS PARKING: ]

UrbanSim 2.0 Workplan

Overview

• We want to add stability and clarity to the current code. Also, we will be pushed to add more features.

Model System

• Python 3 (40 hours): convert bayarea_urbansim to python3. Must be timed with UDST core software
• Baseyear 2015
• Clean code
• Stochasticity/Volatility
• Documentation
• Calibration and Validation

Households

• Solve old units removal problem
• Complete UAL work on units, tenure, etc
• Stickier neighborhood composition
• More segmentation

Employees

Developer Model

• Fees
• City openness to development rating
• Returns to Scale

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Upgrades to Date

Conor

• Multiple Logsums
• Move More Stuff into Scenario Framework
• Allow Minimum Density Requirement

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Other

• Things that can be set for a particular scenario
• New Residential Hedonic
• BAUS1 TM1PT5 Compatibility
• BAUS1 TM2 Compatibility
• Retail Shift Strategy
• AV Impacts on Parking
• Horizon Scenarios
• Higher Res Price Shifter
• Hazards Changes
• Trying Out Policy Levers

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• General Changes

• Housing Changes

• Employment Changes

• Output Changes